Question: Serial Correlation (MLR/Fourier) and Inventory Problems

Someone asked me a question about the impact of serial correlation (a forecast performance/error measurement) on Inventory problems.
In short, if someone consistently forecasts above, will they always have too much stock? Conversely if one consistently forecast too low, will they always have out of stocks?
On its face this seems right. However there always are buffers […]

Commercial Paper & Treasury Markets Impact on Supply Chain Performance

Every day treasurers and treasury departments look at their cash positions and, based upon what they need to do this week or this month (if they need cash), they go to the commercial paper market and ask to borrow, say $900,000 (for the day or week).
In exchange (as this is a loan) they pay […]

Boiling the Ocean: Just Another Way to Create Permanent Employment for Your Supply Chain Strategy Consultant

I know we spend a lot of time discussing our work around JDA Supply Chain Training. Hey, we’re just trying to tell the world what we do!!However, the reason that we’re able to provide, what I believe to be a strong set of training templates is due to one reason — we know what it […]

CEOs Need Forecasters More Than Their CFOs

The way I see it, planning from a rear-view mirror is not the same as gaining insight from the business and market as to where their business is going.  CFOs do provide forward looking guidance, but for the most part they’re dealing in reports around what’s happened. Yes that’s what I said and I mean […]

Objects In Mirror…

When I was sixteen, I wanted my driver’s license and I didn’t want to wait. There were places to go, things to see, I didn’t have time to wait.  What I really wanted was for someone to slide a license across the desk, walk me over to my [Dad’s] car and rattle off a few […]